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Early voting begins in midterms as campaign shifts focus to cost of living and Iran war – US politics live

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Early voting begins in midterms as cost of living and Iran war loom large

Good morning, and welcome to our US politics live blog. The midterm elections are less than two months away, but some states begin early voting today, marking the start of a crucial stretch of campaigning for control of Congress.

Virginia begins early in-person voting, while voters in Minnesota, Idaho and South Dakota can cast absentee ballots in person, as the campaign turns increasingly on the cost of living and the continuing war in Iran.

Gas prices are displayed at a gas station, in Riverwoods, Illinois.
The start of early voting comes at a time of deep angst among many US citizens about issues including rising gas. Photograph: Nam Y Huh/AP

High gas prices and low approval ratings are adding to the challenges facing president Donald Trump as Republicans head into the 3 November elections with their control of the House and Senate at risk. In its analysis of the US economy, the Wall Street Journal reports that mortgage rates are nearing 7%, consumer prices rose 3.4% in the year to August and gas prices are close to their highest levels since 2022.

“We are seeing what happens when a president launches a war of choice without anticipating the unintended consequences,” Aaron David Miller, a former adviser on Middle East policy to Republican and Democratic administrations, told Reuters.

Trump will take his case to the UN on Tuesday, where he is likely to present the Iran war as a victory despite having initially promised the military campaign would be over within weeks. The conflict has instead entered its seventh month, with Iran still able to disrupt regional shipping and the war putting further pressure on global energy prices.

In other developments:

double quotation markOne detailed report, issued months ago by the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency, raised questions about whether the Americans and Saudis would be able to secure sites with F-35 technology. It also raised concerns about the access that Chinese military personnel have to Saudi bases and the prevalent use by Saudi Arabia of Chinese technology in telecommunications infrastructure and defense installations.

Traffic cones outside the Kennedy Center.
Traffic cones keep cars from entering the driveway at the Kennedy Center in Washington, which was ordered to be closed for repairs by its board. Photograph: Jonathan Ernst/Reuters

Key events

JD Vance is back on the midterm campaign trail today, slated to head to Iowa to speak at a rally in Council Bluffs.

Republicans in the state are fighting to hold on to a Senate seat and the governorship, both of which appear too close for comfort. Vance will be joined at the rally by the Republican candidate for governor, Zach Lahn. The GOP’s Senate nominee, Ashley Hinson, has said she will not attend due to a previously scheduled commitment.

Analysis: What Trump’s attacks on mail-in voting mean for the midterms

George Zornick

For the millions of Americans who vote by mail – almost a third of the country – the week began with significant uncertainty that they would be able to easily submit their ballot this fall, thanks to a March executive order from Donald Trump that aimed to restrict mail-in ballots. By Monday night, the supreme court restored a measure of order by rebuking the president and rejecting his plan – but Trump’s frothing response portends more danger for the rapidly approaching midterms.

Trump’s March order forbade the US Postal Service from delivering mailed ballots to anyone the administration deemed ineligible. The Department of Homeland Security, working with the Social Security Administration, would have devised that list of supposedly ineligible, noncitizen voters. On its face, the move appeared plainly illegal. One expert told the Guardian’s Sam Levine, “This is a wholly unconstitutional EO,” because ultimately the federal government cannot set election rules; only states can.

The plan was full of logistical problems, too. A whistleblower told Congress earlier this month that the Postal Service simply didn’t have the ability to implement the system safely, and that the whole plan was “perilously rushed and potentially unlawful”, according to Richard Blumenthal, the senator who handled the whistleblower complaint. State election officials also complained they would be unable to implement Trump’s restrictions this close to an election, even if they were deemed lawful. Alabama, North Carolina and Wisconsin had already begun mailing out ballots before the supreme court ruled, and chaos would have reigned there and across the country had the court blessed Trump’s plan.

Read more:

Early voting in Virginia begins amid a legal dispute over voting by mail.

The Trump administration had sought to restrict mail ballots for the midterm elections, but on Monday the US supreme court declined to lift a lower court ruling blocking the new requirements. The decision means states can continue using the same mail-voting procedures they have used in previous elections.

The dispute stems from an executive order signed by Trump in March directing the US Postal Service (USPS) to introduce new rules for handling mail-in ballots. The rules would require states to provide the USPS with lists of voters receiving mail ballots and use specially marked envelopes.

Trump argued that tighter controls are needed to prevent election fraud and strengthen confidence in mail voting. Writing on Truth Social after the supreme court ruling, he said the US was “the only country that has to endure such a Nation Destroying SCAM”.

George Chidi, a politics and democracy reporter for Guardian US, provides more background on Trump’s efforts to change mail-in voting rules in this explainer:

The dispute could have an impact on how Virginians choose to vote, said Stephen Farnsworth, professor emeritus of political science at the University of Mary Washington

“President Trump’s continuing efforts to make voting harder, and the possibility of mayhem on election day, should really energize early voting in Virginia and around the country this fall,” he told the Virginia Mercury.

“Virginians have already demonstrated a great willingness to vote early and this year may see even more interest.”

Trump officials sending undocumented children to Texas sparks fears of mass deportation

Alexandra Villarreal

The Trump administration has started sending a majority of undocumented children who came to the US alone and have new immigration court cases to Texas, where government facilities for them are unlicensed, their chances of getting a lawyer are low and advocates fear that “a deportation churn-out factory” awaits them, the Guardian has learned.

Silhouette of four minors walking at sunset.
Unaccompanied minors wait in Texas to be transported by the US Border Patrol after crossing the Rio Grande River from Mexico. Photograph: Go Nakamura/Reuters

Almost 80% of children in federal custody who arrived unaccompanied by a parent or legal guardian and who were placed in immigration court proceedings in July – and over 90% in August – have been funneled into shelter networks somewhere in Texas, a dramatic upswing from the months prior, according to analysis shared exclusively with the Guardian from researchers at the immigration data insights platform bklg.org.

This is understood to amount to a total of 925 children in the care of the Health and Human Services (HHS) department’s office of refugee resettlement (ORR) and in open immigration court proceedings based in Texas, with 651 sent there in July and August alone.

Read more:

Early voting begins in midterms as cost of living and Iran war loom large

Good morning, and welcome to our US politics live blog. The midterm elections are less than two months away, but some states begin early voting today, marking the start of a crucial stretch of campaigning for control of Congress.

Virginia begins early in-person voting, while voters in Minnesota, Idaho and South Dakota can cast absentee ballots in person, as the campaign turns increasingly on the cost of living and the continuing war in Iran.

Gas prices are displayed at a gas station, in Riverwoods, Illinois.
The start of early voting comes at a time of deep angst among many US citizens about issues including rising gas. Photograph: Nam Y Huh/AP

High gas prices and low approval ratings are adding to the challenges facing president Donald Trump as Republicans head into the 3 November elections with their control of the House and Senate at risk. In its analysis of the US economy, the Wall Street Journal reports that mortgage rates are nearing 7%, consumer prices rose 3.4% in the year to August and gas prices are close to their highest levels since 2022.

“We are seeing what happens when a president launches a war of choice without anticipating the unintended consequences,” Aaron David Miller, a former adviser on Middle East policy to Republican and Democratic administrations, told Reuters.

Trump will take his case to the UN on Tuesday, where he is likely to present the Iran war as a victory despite having initially promised the military campaign would be over within weeks. The conflict has instead entered its seventh month, with Iran still able to disrupt regional shipping and the war putting further pressure on global energy prices.

In other developments:

double quotation markOne detailed report, issued months ago by the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency, raised questions about whether the Americans and Saudis would be able to secure sites with F-35 technology. It also raised concerns about the access that Chinese military personnel have to Saudi bases and the prevalent use by Saudi Arabia of Chinese technology in telecommunications infrastructure and defense installations.

Traffic cones outside the Kennedy Center.
Traffic cones keep cars from entering the driveway at the Kennedy Center in Washington, which was ordered to be closed for repairs by its board. Photograph: Jonathan Ernst/Reuters